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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+6.43vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+4.34vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.71+4.94vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+5.01vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.83+2.26vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.38+7.18vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.01-0.48vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.97+2.77vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.99+1.79vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.74-2.15vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.06-0.30vs Predicted
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123.63-3.55vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College3.14-2.98vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.85-3.01vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.90-3.85vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-5.29vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.28-7.29vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-5.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.34Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.94College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.01Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.26Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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13.18George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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6.52Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.77Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.7Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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8.453.630.1%1st Place
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10.02Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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10.99Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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11.15University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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10.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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9.71Georgetown University3.280.0%1st Place
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12.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Clerc Cooper | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.3% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| India Johnstone | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 23.6% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.1% |
| Mary Hall | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% |
| Lily Katz | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.