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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+6.31vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+8.82vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.85+8.43vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+2.41vs Predicted
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53.63+2.86vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84+1.08vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.38+5.96vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.06+2.21vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.14+0.94vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.97+0.94vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.10-4.81vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.28-2.27vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.38-4.21vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.74-6.83vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-2.98vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-5.51vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.71-9.30vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.07-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.31Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.82University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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11.43Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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6.41Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.863.630.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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12.96George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.21Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.94Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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10.94Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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6.19Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.73Georgetown University3.280.0%1st Place
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8.79Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.17U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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12.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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10.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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7.7College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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13.93University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.5% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lily Katz | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| India Johnstone | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 19.9% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Mary Hall | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kayla Ellis | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 12.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% |
| Clerc Cooper | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Bess | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.