← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.89+1.70vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley0.98+4.90vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii1.31+4.06vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+5.32vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University1.81+0.29vs Predicted
-
6San Diego State University0.53+4.89vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+2.89vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington1.44-1.39vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-3.81vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+0.16vs Predicted
-
11University of Southern California0.90-3.20vs Predicted
-
12Arizona State University0.66-2.18vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Los Angeles-0.34-0.35vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Davis0.07-3.80vs Predicted
-
15University of California at San Diego0.03-3.46vs Predicted
-
16California State University Channel Islands-1.54+0.02vs Predicted
-
17University of California at San Diego-0.87-2.61vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Irvine-0.36-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.7Stanford University2.8933.1%1st Place
-
6.9University of California at Berkeley0.985.9%1st Place
-
7.06University of Hawaii1.315.6%1st Place
-
9.32California Poly Maritime Academy0.533.0%1st Place
-
5.29Western Washington University1.8111.2%1st Place
-
10.89San Diego State University0.532.4%1st Place
-
9.89University of California at Santa Cruz0.862.3%1st Place
-
6.61University of Washington1.446.8%1st Place
-
5.19University of California at Santa Barbara1.3511.1%1st Place
-
10.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.352.4%1st Place
-
7.8University of Southern California0.905.1%1st Place
-
9.82Arizona State University0.662.7%1st Place
-
12.65University of California at Los Angeles-0.340.9%1st Place
-
10.2University of California at Davis0.073.6%1st Place
-
11.54University of California at San Diego0.031.9%1st Place
-
16.02California State University Channel Islands-1.540.3%1st Place
-
14.39University of California at San Diego-0.870.7%1st Place
-
14.56University of California at Irvine-0.360.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 33.1% | 22.5% | 17.4% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Everett McAvoy | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Sam Jennings | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Leif Hauge | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Blake Roberts | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Danny Juan | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matt Grimsley | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Rigel Mummers | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 5.5% |
| Braedon Hansen | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 2.2% |
| Brent Lin | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 19.4% | 47.2% |
| Alex Bussey | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 21.2% | 18.6% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 21.2% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.