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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.73+8.88vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+5.23vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.01+5.71vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.20vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.92+3.78vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.96+2.68vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.03+5.42vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.33+3.17vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.58+1.24vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.21+2.07vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-4.17vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.05-3.32vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.56-2.78vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.37-7.27vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.46-8.41vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.97-3.25vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.50-2.61vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.21-10.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.88College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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7.23Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.71Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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8.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.78Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.68University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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12.42Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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11.17U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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10.24George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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12.07University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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6.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.68Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.22Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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6.73University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.59Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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12.75Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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14.39Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.39Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Maeve White | 5.6% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Amina Brown | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 13.7% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.5% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| Madison Gates | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 10.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Katia DaSilva | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 16.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 34.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.