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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+8.08vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+5.80vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+5.93vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.03+8.34vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.67vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.97+6.74vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35+0.06vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05+0.23vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.73+0.61vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.21+2.03vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.37-3.90vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.46-5.00vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.33-1.84vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-6.02vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.58-4.77vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.01-7.51vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.50-2.62vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.56-7.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.08Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.8Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.93University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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12.34Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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6.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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12.74Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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7.06Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.23Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.61College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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12.03University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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7.1University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.0Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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11.16U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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7.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.23George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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8.49Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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14.38Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.17Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Amina Brown | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 13.9% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 15.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Madison Gates | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Katia DaSilva | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 16.2% | 33.8% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.