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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+7.47vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.46+4.80vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+4.80vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.58+6.11vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96+3.62vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.97+6.71vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.32vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.33+3.21vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.75vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.73-0.08vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.21+0.94vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-4.65vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.01-4.71vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.35-7.20vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.56-4.73vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.03-3.43vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.92-8.00vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.50-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.47Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.8Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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7.8Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.11George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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12.71Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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6.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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11.21U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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8.25St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.92College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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11.94University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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7.35University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.29Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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6.8Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.27Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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12.57Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.0Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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14.2Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Katia DaSilva | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% |
| Amina Brown | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 16.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.1% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Madison Gates | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 14.7% |
| Maeve White | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 16.4% | 30.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.