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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+7.18vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+4.92vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.23+8.74vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.73+5.21vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.03+7.00vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.03vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.96+1.34vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.92+0.47vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-2.67vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.46-3.39vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.87-2.10vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.58-1.66vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.33-2.16vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.21-6.83vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.56-4.99vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.24-4.57vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.97-4.46vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.50-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.18Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.92Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.74University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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9.21College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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12.0Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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8.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.34University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.47Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.61Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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8.9Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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10.34George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.84U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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7.17Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.01Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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11.43University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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12.54Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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13.95Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 8.7% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 12.5% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Amina Brown | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Maeve White | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Katia DaSilva | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 14.7% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.