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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.23+10.55vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.87+6.93vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+3.88vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.21+7.30vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.46+1.37vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.21+1.32vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.73+2.34vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.90+0.50vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.51+1.16vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.79vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.96-2.55vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.05-3.65vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-6.74vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.33-3.33vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.56-5.05vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.97-3.47vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.50-2.80vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.03-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.55University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.93Brown University2.870.0%1st Place
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6.88Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.3University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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6.37Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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7.32Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.34College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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8.5Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.16George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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8.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.45University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.35Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.67U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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9.95Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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12.53Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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14.2Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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12.02Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Madison Gates | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% |
| Katia DaSilva | 11.1% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Amina Brown | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 15.2% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 32.2% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.