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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+7.13vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+4.89vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.90+5.80vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.33vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.21+2.29vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.87+2.68vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.23+4.37vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.97+4.31vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.50+5.09vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-1.42vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.03+1.31vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.66vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.51-2.94vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.56-4.28vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-7.05vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.46-9.58vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.73-7.52vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.21-6.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.89Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.8Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.29Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.68Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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11.37University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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12.31Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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14.09Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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12.31Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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11.34U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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10.06George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.72Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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7.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.42Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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9.48College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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11.27University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 14.4% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 15.5% | 31.1% |
| Amina Brown | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 12.7% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Katia DaSilva | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Madison Gates | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.