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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.87+7.91vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.51+8.44vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+4.53vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+2.65vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96+3.24vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.94vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.90+1.55vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05-0.14vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.03+3.15vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.73-0.44vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-4.49vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.23-0.24vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.97-0.80vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.50-0.23vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.21-3.57vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.46-9.61vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.33-5.85vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.51-8.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.91Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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10.44George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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7.53Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.65Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.24University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.55Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.86Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.15Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.56College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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6.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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11.76University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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12.2Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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13.77Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.43University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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6.39Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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11.15U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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9.95Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly McGlynn | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 3.7% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Amina Brown | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 9.8% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.6% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 14.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 13.7% | 30.5% |
| Madison Gates | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% |
| Katia DaSilva | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.