← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.92vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.35+5.19vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.01+5.70vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.23vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.21+2.57vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston2.73+3.65vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.96+1.62vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University1.97+4.59vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University2.03+3.48vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University2.92-0.93vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University3.46-4.23vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University2.58-1.46vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island3.37-6.12vs Predicted
-
14Yale University3.05-5.99vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College1.50-0.75vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy2.33-4.59vs Predicted
-
17University of South Florida2.24-5.24vs Predicted
-
18Bowdoin College2.51-7.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
7.19Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
8.7Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
8.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
7.57Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
-
9.65College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
-
8.62University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
12.59Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
-
12.48Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
-
9.07Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
-
6.77Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
-
10.54George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
-
6.88University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
8.01Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
14.25Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
-
11.41U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
-
11.76University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
-
10.35Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 5.5% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Amina Brown | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 15.3% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 12.8% |
| Maeve White | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Katia DaSilva | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 31.8% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 8.5% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.