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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.68vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+4.92vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.46+3.47vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.87+4.63vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.88vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.96+2.30vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.97+5.38vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.90+0.51vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-1.18vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.21-2.43vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.73-1.51vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.23-0.25vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.21-1.70vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.51-4.09vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.50-0.97vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.51-5.72vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.03-4.69vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.33-7.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.92Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.47Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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8.63Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.3University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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12.38Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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8.51Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.82Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.57Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.49College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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11.75University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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11.3University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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9.91Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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14.03Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.28George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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12.31Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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10.8U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Katia DaSilva | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Amina Brown | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 13.1% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 9.3% |
| Madison Gates | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 30.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 4.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 14.3% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.