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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+7.51vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+4.85vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+4.48vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.46+2.29vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.38vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.21+5.48vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+0.97vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.90+0.45vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.50+5.12vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.97+2.60vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.51-0.68vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.87-2.89vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.03-1.05vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-6.30vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.33-4.06vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.73-6.67vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.23-5.48vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.51-7.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.51University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.85Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.48Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.29Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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6.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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11.48University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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7.97Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.45Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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14.12Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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12.6Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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10.32George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.11Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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11.95Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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7.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.94U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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9.33College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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10.01Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Katia DaSilva | 12.0% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Madison Gates | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 15.7% | 29.4% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 15.6% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 12.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.5% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.0% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.