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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+7.84vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+6.61vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+4.77vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.46+2.57vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+3.16vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.18vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.37vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.37-1.07vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.92-0.28vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.97+2.86vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.51-0.37vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.21+0.10vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.03-0.71vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.33-3.07vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.56-4.75vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.50-1.62vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.35-9.81vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.60-8.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.84University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.61Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.77Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.57Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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8.16Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.93University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.72Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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12.86Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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10.63George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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12.1University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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12.29Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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10.93U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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10.25Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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14.38Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.19Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.95College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Katia DaSilva | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Maeve White | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 15.6% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.7% |
| Madison Gates | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 11.8% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 13.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 32.9% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.