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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.69vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+5.93vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.60+6.64vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21+3.29vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96+3.04vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.03+6.00vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.67vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.35-1.41vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-0.91vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.50+3.53vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.16vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.46-5.67vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.51-2.86vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.37-7.23vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.92-6.57vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.21-4.73vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.97-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.69St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.93Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.64College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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7.29Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.04University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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12.0Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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6.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.59Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.09Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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13.53Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.84U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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6.33Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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10.14George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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6.77University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.43Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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11.27University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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12.11Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Smith | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Amina Brown | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 14.5% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 31.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.4% |
| Katia DaSilva | 9.6% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Maeve White | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Madison Gates | 2.8% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% |
| Quinn Howes | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.