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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.46+5.14vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+5.17vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+5.20vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+3.92vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.01+2.84vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.03+6.00vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.61vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.51+1.80vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.60+0.85vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.35-3.38vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.37-4.16vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-4.14vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.90-4.37vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.97-1.81vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.33-4.29vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.21-4.75vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.50-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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7.17Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.2University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.92Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.84Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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12.0Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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6.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.8George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.85College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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6.62Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.84University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.63Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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12.19Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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10.71U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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11.25University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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13.58Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katia DaSilva | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Amina Brown | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 14.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Quinn Howes | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 16.3% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% |
| Madison Gates | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.