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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.68vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.28vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.46+3.34vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+2.82vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.21+2.08vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.97+6.22vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.01+1.08vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.90+0.36vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-2.15vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-1.97vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.51-0.92vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.33-1.30vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.05-5.02vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.50-0.32vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.03-3.21vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.60-6.19vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.21-5.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.34Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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6.82Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.08Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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12.22Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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8.08Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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8.36Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.85University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.03University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.08George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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10.7U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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7.98Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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13.68Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.79Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.81College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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11.22University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Smith | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Katia DaSilva | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 17.4% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Amina Brown | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 4.6% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 7.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 33.6% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.4% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% |
| Madison Gates | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.