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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.87+8.21vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+6.82vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.46+3.82vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+4.13vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.63vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+1.02vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37-0.05vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.51+2.38vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.73+0.51vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.90-0.84vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.24+0.72vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.38vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-4.88vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.50-0.01vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.56-4.75vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.21-8.36vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.03-4.44vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.97-5.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.21Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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6.82Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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8.13Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.02Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.95University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.38George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.51College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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9.16Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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11.72University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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11.62U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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8.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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13.99Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.25Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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7.64Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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12.56Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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12.45Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly McGlynn | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Amina Brown | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Katia DaSilva | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.9% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 31.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 15.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.