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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+6.35vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.05+8.07vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+5.90vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.36+0.92vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.25+3.89vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.65+1.49vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.74+0.12vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.80+2.64vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan2.97+1.10vs Predicted
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10Washington University1.78+4.46vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.12-5.12vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.49-3.67vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-7.24vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii2.92-3.95vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston1.75-0.60vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-5.72vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.38-4.44vs Predicted
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18University of British Columbia1.92-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.07SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
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4.92Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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8.89Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.49College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.64Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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10.1University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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14.46Washington University1.780.0%1st Place
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5.88Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.33Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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5.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.05University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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14.4Texas A&M University at Galveston1.750.0%1st Place
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10.28University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
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12.56Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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13.8University of British Columbia1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nick Valente | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Nevin Snow | 16.3% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Jake Reynolds | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Mary Hall | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| James Harvey | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 18.9% | 28.3% |
| Raul Rios | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Michael Sager | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 28.1% |
| Stephen Long | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 9.0% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.