← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.89+1.72vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University1.81+3.38vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+6.27vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+5.81vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii1.31+2.09vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-0.75vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California0.90+0.91vs Predicted
-
8San Diego State University0.53+2.71vs Predicted
-
9Arizona State University0.66+0.72vs Predicted
-
10University of Washington1.44-3.37vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-1.09vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Davis0.07-1.73vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley0.98-6.12vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Irvine-0.36+0.64vs Predicted
-
15University of California at San Diego0.03-3.45vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Los Angeles-0.34-3.40vs Predicted
-
17California State University Channel Islands-1.54-1.00vs Predicted
-
18University of California at San Diego-0.87-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.72Stanford University2.8932.0%1st Place
-
5.38Western Washington University1.8110.7%1st Place
-
9.27California Poly Maritime Academy0.533.6%1st Place
-
9.81University of California at Santa Cruz0.862.8%1st Place
-
7.09University of Hawaii1.316.6%1st Place
-
5.25University of California at Santa Barbara1.3511.1%1st Place
-
7.91University of Southern California0.904.0%1st Place
-
10.71San Diego State University0.532.5%1st Place
-
9.72Arizona State University0.662.5%1st Place
-
6.63University of Washington1.447.8%1st Place
-
9.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.352.6%1st Place
-
10.27University of California at Davis0.072.3%1st Place
-
6.88University of California at Berkeley0.986.8%1st Place
-
14.64University of California at Irvine-0.360.8%1st Place
-
11.55University of California at San Diego0.031.6%1st Place
-
12.6University of California at Los Angeles-0.341.2%1st Place
-
16.0California State University Channel Islands-1.540.4%1st Place
-
14.67University of California at San Diego-0.870.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 32.0% | 24.2% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leif Hauge | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Blake Roberts | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Everett McAvoy | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jasper Reid | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Matt Grimsley | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Danny Juan | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Will Cornell | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 14.5% | 21.6% | 21.7% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 2.3% |
| Rigel Mummers | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 5.2% |
| Brent Lin | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 19.8% | 45.0% |
| Alex Bussey | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 22.0% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.