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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+6.33vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.73+5.30vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+2.89vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.49+4.02vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.05+4.71vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan2.97+4.22vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.36-2.07vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.80+2.68vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.25-0.02vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii2.92+0.56vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.65-3.42vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-3.00vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University2.38-0.74vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston1.75+0.15vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia1.92-1.06vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-10.09vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-6.69vs Predicted
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18Washington University1.78-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.3Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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5.89Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.02Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.71SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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10.22University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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4.93Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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10.68Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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8.98Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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10.56University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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7.58College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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9.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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12.26Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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14.15Texas A&M University at Galveston1.750.0%1st Place
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13.94University of British Columbia1.920.0%1st Place
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5.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.31University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
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14.22Washington University1.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Raul Rios | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Nick Valente | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Nevin Snow | 15.4% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Chuck Eaton | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Elliott Morrill | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.4% |
| Michael Sager | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 25.5% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 22.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Long | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| James Harvey | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.