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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.05+8.86vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+2.96vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.65+4.50vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.73+2.88vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.12+0.60vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.24vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.74-0.01vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.43+0.01vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.80+1.54vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii2.92+0.43vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.25-2.04vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.97-1.68vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston1.75+1.08vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-5.70vs Predicted
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15Washington University1.78-0.83vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-3.14vs Predicted
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17University of British Columbia1.92-3.18vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University2.38-6.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.86SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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4.96Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.5College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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6.88Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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5.6Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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5.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.01Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.54Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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10.43University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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8.96Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.32University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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14.08Texas A&M University at Galveston1.750.0%1st Place
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8.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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14.17Washington University1.780.0%1st Place
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12.86University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.0%1st Place
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13.82University of British Columbia1.920.0%1st Place
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11.97Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Valente | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 11.6% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Raul Rios | 12.6% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 1.6% |
| Chuck Eaton | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Michael Sager | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 25.2% |
| Elliott Morrill | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| James Harvey | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 23.4% |
| Joseph Schiff | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 12.7% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 21.5% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.