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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.25+8.11vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+3.81vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.65+4.45vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.36+0.82vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.96vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.25vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+1.52vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.92+2.04vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.05+0.54vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.73-2.76vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.43-2.70vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Galveston1.75+2.47vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.80-2.53vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia1.92-0.55vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.38-2.84vs Predicted
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16Washington University1.78-1.68vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-4.13vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan2.97-8.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.11Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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5.81Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.45College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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4.82Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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6.96U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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5.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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10.04University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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9.54SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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7.24Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.3Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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14.47Texas A&M University at Galveston1.750.0%1st Place
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10.47Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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13.45University of British Columbia1.920.0%1st Place
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12.16Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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14.32Washington University1.780.0%1st Place
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12.87University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Raul Rios | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jake Reynolds | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 15.5% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Chuck Eaton | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Nick Valente | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Michael Sager | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 17.6% | 27.5% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 17.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% |
| James Harvey | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 18.7% | 25.4% |
| Joseph Schiff | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 11.2% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.