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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+5.78vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.73+4.77vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.05+6.35vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.65+2.79vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.36-0.45vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.43+1.77vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.21vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.80+1.94vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+3.20vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-4.41vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia1.92+2.22vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-3.63vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.25-4.77vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University2.38-2.69vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.65-1.03vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan2.97-6.52vs Predicted
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17Washington University1.78-3.28vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston0.64-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.78Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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6.77Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.35SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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6.79College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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4.55Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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7.77Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.79U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.94Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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12.2University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.0%1st Place
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5.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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13.22University of British Columbia1.920.0%1st Place
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8.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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8.23Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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11.31Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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13.97University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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13.72Washington University1.780.0%1st Place
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16.14Texas A&M University at Galveston0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nick Valente | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Jake Reynolds | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 17.6% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Schiff | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 4.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 13.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 9.4% |
| Elliott Morrill | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Mackenzie Cook | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 15.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| James Harvey | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 17.3% | 18.1% | 12.4% |
| Noel Ingalls | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 18.6% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.