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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.65+6.07vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+2.65vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.80+7.31vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.25+4.28vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.73+1.57vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.56vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.43+0.70vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia1.92+5.03vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.65+4.95vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.05-0.63vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan2.97-1.52vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-3.57vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.67-6.31vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.73-7.55vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.38-3.48vs Predicted
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16Washington University1.78-2.34vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-4.76vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston0.64-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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4.65Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.31Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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8.28Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.57Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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5.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.7Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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13.03University of British Columbia1.920.0%1st Place
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13.95University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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9.37SUNY Maritime College3.050.1%1st Place
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9.48University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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8.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.45Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.52Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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13.66Washington University1.780.0%1st Place
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12.24University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.0%1st Place
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16.15Texas A&M University at Galveston0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Reynolds | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 14.7% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 8.5% |
| Mackenzie Cook | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 22.4% | 12.9% |
| Nick Valente | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Alex Ramos | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Elliott Morrill | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| James Harvey | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 12.6% |
| Joseph Schiff | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 4.3% |
| Noel Ingalls | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 55.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.