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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.05+8.11vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+4.46vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.65+3.86vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.29+3.92vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+0.15vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+1.91vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.80+2.92vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan2.97+1.12vs Predicted
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9Washington University1.78+4.58vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.65+4.17vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia1.92+2.20vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.25-3.52vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-1.02vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.73-7.83vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.43-7.55vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston1.75-2.36vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.67-10.30vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.87-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.11SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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6.46Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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6.86College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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7.92Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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5.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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9.92Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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9.12University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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13.58Washington University1.780.0%1st Place
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14.17University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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13.2University of British Columbia1.920.0%1st Place
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8.48Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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11.98University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.0%1st Place
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6.17Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.45Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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13.64Texas A&M University at Galveston1.750.0%1st Place
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6.7U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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13.17Jacksonville University1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Valente | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| AJ Reiter | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 13.9% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Morrill | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Alex Ramos | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| James Harvey | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 17.1% |
| Mackenzie Cook | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 17.1% | 24.8% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 14.7% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Schiff | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Michael Sager | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 17.8% |
| Patrick Snow | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hidley | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.