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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.89+5.02vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.11+6.95vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.44+4.60vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.58vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.51+2.16vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.93+7.13vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.92-1.32vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+0.11vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.25-0.95vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.41-2.23vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii2.32+0.83vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.70-1.37vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.79-6.92vs Predicted
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14Washington University2.25-2.33vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.54-4.13vs Predicted
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16University of British Columbia1.14-0.65vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10-1.53vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-7.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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8.95Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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7.6U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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6.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.16Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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13.13University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
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5.68Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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8.05SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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7.77Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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11.83University of Hawaii2.320.0%1st Place
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10.63Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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6.08Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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11.67Washington University2.250.0%1st Place
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10.87Jacksonville University2.540.0%1st Place
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15.35University of British Columbia1.140.0%1st Place
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15.47Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
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10.02University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Rees | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Michael Popp | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alex Post | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Cyr | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 9.5% |
| William Bailey | 12.1% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Hill | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Dan Nickerson | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 4.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Ross | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 5.2% |
| Ian Ikeda | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Joseph Gustafson | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 20.2% | 35.9% |
| Dylan Marohn | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 21.5% | 38.1% |
| Sterling Henken | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.