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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.25+7.38vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.92+3.85vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.79+3.37vs Predicted
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4Washington University2.25+7.90vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+5.14vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.69vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.44+0.42vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.41-0.55vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.11-0.26vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.89-3.98vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii2.32+0.74vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.54-0.69vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10+2.22vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.70-3.94vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.51-7.88vs Predicted
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16University of British Columbia1.14-0.63vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.93-3.80vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-9.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.38SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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5.85Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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6.37Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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11.9Washington University2.250.0%1st Place
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10.14University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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7.45Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.74Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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6.02College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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11.74University of Hawaii2.320.0%1st Place
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11.31Jacksonville University2.540.0%1st Place
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15.22Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
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10.06Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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7.12Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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15.37University of British Columbia1.140.0%1st Place
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13.2University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
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8.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Hill | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| William Bailey | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Ross | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 5.3% |
| Sterling Henken | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Charles Rees | 12.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 4.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Dylan Marohn | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 21.1% | 34.9% |
| Timothy Siemers | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Alex Post | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Gustafson | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 21.6% | 34.9% |
| Christopher Cyr | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 11.6% |
| Eddie Cox | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.