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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.89+5.03vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.80vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+2.85vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.44+3.38vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.51+2.12vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.11+2.77vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.41+0.56vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.79-1.91vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.70+1.29vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.93+3.27vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-2.70vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.25-3.53vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University2.54-2.25vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-4.11vs Predicted
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15Washington University2.25-3.04vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii2.32-4.19vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10-1.54vs Predicted
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18University of British Columbia1.14-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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6.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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5.85Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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7.38U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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7.12Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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8.77Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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7.56Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.09Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.29Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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13.27University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
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8.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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8.47SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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10.75Jacksonville University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.89University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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11.96Washington University2.250.0%1st Place
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11.81University of Hawaii2.320.0%1st Place
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15.46Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
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15.18University of British Columbia1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Rees | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 10.8% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.8% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Dan Nickerson | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 10.9% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Cyr | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 11.3% |
| Eddie Cox | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Ian Ikeda | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Sterling Henken | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Ross | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 4.5% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 5.1% |
| Dylan Marohn | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 20.5% | 39.0% |
| Joseph Gustafson | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 21.4% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.