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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.92+4.29vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.11+6.18vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.89+2.50vs Predicted
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4Washington University2.25+7.22vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.65+1.16vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.25+1.82vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.51-0.22vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.79-2.26vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.44-1.81vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.88+1.40vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-5.62vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.70-3.39vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-0.15vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-5.28vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.85-3.55vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.54-6.77vs Predicted
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18University of British Columbia1.14-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.18Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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5.5College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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11.22Washington University2.250.0%1st Place
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6.16Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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7.82SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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6.78Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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5.74Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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12.4University of Hawaii1.880.0%1st Place
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6.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.61Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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13.85Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.0%1st Place
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9.72University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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12.45University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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10.23Jacksonville University2.540.0%1st Place
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14.48University of British Columbia1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 13.6% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Charles Rees | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Ross | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 5.7% |
| Duncan Swain | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Alex Post | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 10.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Siemers | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Alexander Thompson | 0.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 20.6% | 27.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 17.5% | 12.2% |
| Ian Ikeda | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Joseph Gustafson | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 18.0% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.