← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.79+5.37vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Maritime College3.25+6.37vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University3.11+5.93vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.89+1.70vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy3.44+2.35vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University3.47+1.33vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.35vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+2.09vs Predicted
-
9University of Michigan1.93+4.09vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University3.65-3.10vs Predicted
-
11Boston College3.92-5.19vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-3.49vs Predicted
-
13University of Hawaii1.88+0.05vs Predicted
-
14Washington University2.25-2.39vs Predicted
-
15Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-0.30vs Predicted
-
16Jacksonville University2.54-5.04vs Predicted
-
17Eckerd College2.70-6.60vs Predicted
-
18University of British Columbia1.14-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.37Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
8.37SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
-
8.93Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
-
5.7College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
-
7.35U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
-
7.33Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
-
6.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
10.09University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
-
13.09University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
-
6.9Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
-
5.81Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
8.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
-
13.05University of Hawaii1.880.0%1st Place
-
11.61Washington University2.250.0%1st Place
-
14.7Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.0%1st Place
-
10.96Jacksonville University2.540.0%1st Place
-
10.4Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
-
15.18University of British Columbia1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mollerus | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Hill | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Charles Rees | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Sean Golden | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sterling Henken | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Cyr | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 10.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 9.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 11.5% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 12.0% |
| Nathan Ross | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% |
| Alexander Thompson | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 21.0% | 26.6% |
| Ian Ikeda | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Timothy Siemers | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Joseph Gustafson | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 12.5% | 18.0% | 36.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.