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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.92+4.90vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+6.39vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.89+2.98vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.44+3.33vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.11+3.63vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.47+1.39vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.79-0.84vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.93+4.97vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.54+1.84vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.65-3.12vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.88+2.35vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-5.06vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.25-5.01vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia1.14+1.08vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.70-4.77vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-5.71vs Predicted
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17Washington University2.25-4.89vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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5.98College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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7.33U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.63Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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7.39Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.16Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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12.97University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
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10.84Jacksonville University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.88Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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13.35University of Hawaii1.880.0%1st Place
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6.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.99SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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15.08University of British Columbia1.140.0%1st Place
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10.23Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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10.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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12.11Washington University2.250.0%1st Place
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14.54Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Charles Rees | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Sean Golden | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Cyr | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 11.1% |
| Ian Ikeda | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Duncan Swain | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 16.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Gustafson | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 18.0% | 34.6% |
| Timothy Siemers | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Sterling Henken | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Nathan Ross | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 5.7% |
| Alexander Thompson | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 19.6% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.