Race 8A

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Michael Rush 45.1% 29.3% 12.5% 7.6% 2.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Donahue 10.8% 13.4% 16.3% 16.1% 14.3% 12.8% 10.5% 3.8% 1.7% 0.3%
Alexandra Arntsen 10.1% 11.7% 13.7% 12.8% 19.1% 15.2% 9.5% 5.5% 2.2% 0.2%
John Fonte 0.8% 0.9% 1.9% 3.4% 2.2% 5.0% 7.6% 15.0% 26.2% 37.0%
Tom Charpentier 2.9% 4.2% 6.8% 5.2% 8.2% 9.5% 15.1% 21.4% 17.8% 8.9%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 13.8% 19.2% 17.8% 18.4% 11.3% 9.9% 6.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Jon Beery 6.7% 9.2% 12.2% 15.7% 16.2% 14.4% 13.6% 7.0% 4.1% 0.9%
Christopher Hulse 2.8% 3.0% 6.1% 7.0% 8.4% 10.7% 14.6% 21.4% 17.3% 8.7%
Ryan Byrne 6.1% 8.2% 11.0% 11.1% 14.1% 16.1% 14.5% 12.1% 5.1% 1.7%
Natalie Fohl 0.9% 0.9% 1.7% 2.7% 3.3% 4.3% 7.3% 11.7% 25.0% 42.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.