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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+1.62vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+3.35vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University0.53+7.83vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.31+3.16vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.81+0.47vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+3.84vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.90+0.67vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.98-1.20vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.44-2.39vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.34+2.49vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.03+0.56vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-1.96vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy0.53-3.61vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University0.66-4.45vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.36-0.20vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis0.07-5.61vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.54-1.04vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.87-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Stanford University2.8935.5%1st Place
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5.35University of California at Santa Barbara1.359.8%1st Place
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10.83San Diego State University0.532.0%1st Place
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7.16University of Hawaii1.315.1%1st Place
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5.47Western Washington University1.8110.2%1st Place
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9.84University of California at Santa Cruz0.862.9%1st Place
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7.67University of Southern California0.905.8%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Berkeley0.987.0%1st Place
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6.61University of Washington1.446.9%1st Place
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12.49University of California at Los Angeles-0.341.0%1st Place
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11.56University of California at San Diego0.031.8%1st Place
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10.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.352.6%1st Place
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9.39California Poly Maritime Academy0.533.1%1st Place
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9.55Arizona State University0.662.6%1st Place
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14.8University of California at Irvine-0.360.7%1st Place
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10.39University of California at Davis0.072.2%1st Place
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15.96California State University Channel Islands-1.540.2%1st Place
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14.46University of California at San Diego-0.870.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 35.5% | 22.7% | 16.8% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 9.8% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Everett McAvoy | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Leif Hauge | 10.2% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Will Cornell | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Danny Juan | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rigel Mummers | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 5.7% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 2.2% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Matt Grimsley | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 22.4% | 23.8% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Brent Lin | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 18.6% | 45.1% |
| Alex Bussey | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 22.1% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.