← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University3.11+8.06vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.89+4.06vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College3.25+5.57vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University3.51+3.22vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.77vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.79+0.36vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University2.54+4.03vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University3.41-0.42vs Predicted
-
9Washington University2.25+3.08vs Predicted
-
10University of Michigan1.93+3.39vs Predicted
-
11University of Hawaii2.32+0.97vs Predicted
-
12Boston College3.92-5.87vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-2.82vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy3.44-6.69vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-6.72vs Predicted
-
16Eckerd College3.14-7.18vs Predicted
-
17Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-2.09vs Predicted
-
18University of British Columbia1.14-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.06Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
-
6.06College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
-
8.57SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
-
7.22Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
-
6.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
6.36Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
11.03Jacksonville University2.540.0%1st Place
-
7.58Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
-
12.08Washington University2.250.0%1st Place
-
13.39University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
-
11.97University of Hawaii2.320.0%1st Place
-
6.13Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
10.18University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
-
7.31U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
-
8.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
-
8.82Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
-
14.91Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.0%1st Place
-
15.28University of British Columbia1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Charles Rees | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Alex Post | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Ross | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 4.7% |
| Christopher Cyr | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 13.2% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 6.7% |
| William Bailey | 11.0% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Michael Popp | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Thompson | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 21.6% | 31.1% |
| Joseph Gustafson | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 11.7% | 19.9% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.