← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.79+4.37vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.41+4.69vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University3.51+3.47vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.74vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+3.15vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University3.11+1.15vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.82+1.06vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University2.54+0.88vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Maritime College3.25-2.42vs Predicted
-
11University of Michigan1.93+1.17vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-5.84vs Predicted
-
13Eckerd College2.70-3.59vs Predicted
-
14College of Charleston3.73-8.21vs Predicted
-
15University of British Columbia1.14-0.56vs Predicted
-
16University of Hawaii2.32-5.12vs Predicted
-
17Washington University2.25-5.79vs Predicted
-
18Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.37Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
6.69Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
-
6.47Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
-
6.74U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
-
9.15University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
-
8.15Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
-
9.06Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
-
9.88Jacksonville University2.540.0%1st Place
-
7.58SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
-
12.17University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
-
6.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
9.41Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
-
5.79College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
-
14.44University of British Columbia1.140.0%1st Place
-
10.88University of Hawaii2.320.0%1st Place
-
11.21Washington University2.250.0%1st Place
-
13.84Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mollerus | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dan Nickerson | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alex Post | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Michael Popp | 8.5% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sterling Henken | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Ian Ikeda | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Zachary Hill | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Cyr | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 9.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Siemers | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Davidson | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Gustafson | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 19.5% | 39.9% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 5.1% |
| Nathan Ross | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 6.8% |
| Alexander Thompson | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 19.9% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.