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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+7.77vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.54+7.95vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.51+3.45vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.44+2.78vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.41+1.64vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.22vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.25+0.37vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.11-0.19vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.73-3.10vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii2.32+0.81vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.79-5.30vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.70-3.57vs Predicted
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14Washington University2.25-2.80vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-5.42vs Predicted
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16University of British Columbia1.14-1.70vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-3.13vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.93-5.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.77Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.95Jacksonville University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.45Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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6.78U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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6.64Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.37SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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7.81Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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5.9College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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10.81University of Hawaii2.320.0%1st Place
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5.7Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.43Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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11.2Washington University2.250.0%1st Place
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9.58University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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14.3University of British Columbia1.140.0%1st Place
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13.87Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.0%1st Place
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12.23University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Ian Ikeda | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 2.0% |
| Alex Post | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Michael Popp | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Dan Nickerson | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Hill | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Connor Godfrey | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Davidson | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 4.8% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 12.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Siemers | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Nathan Ross | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.3% |
| Sterling Henken | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Joseph Gustafson | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 18.0% | 38.9% |
| Alexander Thompson | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 20.0% | 27.9% |
| Christopher Cyr | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.