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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.57vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.89+3.17vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.41+3.86vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.79+1.66vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.82+3.83vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.44+0.92vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.54+3.02vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.70+1.27vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.25-1.43vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.52-3.61vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-1.49vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.51-5.51vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia1.14+1.34vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.88-1.53vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.93-2.92vs Predicted
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17Washington University2.25-5.91vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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5.17College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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6.86Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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5.66Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.83Boston College2.820.0%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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10.02Jacksonville University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.27Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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7.57SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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6.39Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.51University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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6.49Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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14.34University of British Columbia1.140.0%1st Place
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12.47University of Hawaii1.880.0%1st Place
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12.08University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
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11.09Washington University2.250.0%1st Place
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13.75Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rees | 13.8% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dan Nickerson | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Michael Popp | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ian Ikeda | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Timothy Siemers | 5.6% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Zachary Hill | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Will Holz | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Sterling Henken | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Alex Post | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Gustafson | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 19.2% | 37.2% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 12.8% |
| Christopher Cyr | 1.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 10.8% |
| Nathan Ross | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 5.5% |
| Alexander Thompson | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 19.3% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.