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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+5.35vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.95+3.99vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+3.23vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+0.36vs Predicted
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5Stanford University4.19+0.23vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.97vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin3.36+1.11vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-0.18vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.18-0.13vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.49-2.44vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.64-3.75vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California2.93-2.43vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota2.01-0.48vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame2.27-2.12vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.34-0.97vs Predicted
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16University of Florida2.20-4.00vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-0.02-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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5.99Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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6.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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4.36Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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5.23Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.97University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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8.11University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.87Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.56University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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7.25Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.57University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
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12.52University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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11.88University of Notre Dame2.270.0%1st Place
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14.03Tulane University1.340.0%1st Place
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12.0University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
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16.27University of Texas-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 18.3% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 12.8% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Stocke | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Hecht | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 5.3% |
| Mike Flanigan | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 2.3% |
| Nick Watts | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 16.7% | 32.9% | 15.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 3.1% |
| William Cragin | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 12.6% | 73.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.