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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.23+8.86vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida4.17+4.26vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.50+2.10vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.56+4.57vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.58+3.64vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.25+3.66vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.56+1.54vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.78-0.17vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.91-2.00vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut2.59+2.37vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.05-0.44vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.31-2.13vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.93-2.11vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.95-0.15vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.71-0.79vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-9.81vs Predicted
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18University of Florida1.91-3.26vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-11.56vs Predicted
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20Maine Maritime Academy1.62-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.86Yale University3.230.0%1st Place
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6.26University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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5.1Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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8.57Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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8.64Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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9.66Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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8.54Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.83Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.0Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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12.37University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
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10.56Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.87Salve Regina University3.310.0%1st Place
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10.89University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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14.85University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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15.21University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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7.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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14.74University of Florida1.910.0%1st Place
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7.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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15.41Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Struckett | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Zachary Marks | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tedd Himler | 14.7% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Edward Glackin | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| D.J. Hatch | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Pesch | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| William Bowman | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John Giuliano | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Drew Shea | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Schon | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| James Simmons | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Christina Johns | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 18.1% |
| Justin Marks | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 18.2% | 25.8% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Danny Levy | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 19.5% |
| Philip Crain | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Hulse | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 19.1% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.