← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+5.10vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University4.19+3.20vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University3.82+3.48vs Predicted
-
4Yale University4.55+0.40vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+2.84vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin3.36+2.26vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College3.18+1.77vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania3.16+0.56vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University3.95-2.73vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida3.49-2.45vs Predicted
-
11Brown University3.64-3.72vs Predicted
-
12University of Southern California2.93-2.45vs Predicted
-
13University of Notre Dame2.27-1.14vs Predicted
-
14University of Florida2.20-1.96vs Predicted
-
16Tulane University1.34-1.96vs Predicted
-
17University of Minnesota2.01-4.47vs Predicted
-
18University of Texas-0.02-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
-
5.2Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
-
6.48Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
4.4Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
-
7.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
8.26University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
-
8.77Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
-
8.56University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
-
6.27Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
7.55University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
-
7.28Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
-
9.55University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
-
11.86University of Notre Dame2.270.0%1st Place
-
12.04University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
-
14.04Tulane University1.340.0%1st Place
-
12.53University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
-
16.27University of Texas-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Curtiss | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 12.7% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 17.7% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.7% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Hecht | 3.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| Mike Flanigan | 1.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 4.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 15.5% | 2.5% |
| Nick Watts | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 16.1% | 33.3% | 15.1% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 4.6% |
| William Cragin | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 12.5% | 72.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.