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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.93+8.69vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+4.74vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.64+4.14vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame2.27+7.73vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.36+2.83vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.80+0.35vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.95-1.22vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-2.12vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-1.17vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University1.47+4.34vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.34+3.53vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.82-5.48vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.18-4.61vs Predicted
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14University of Florida2.20-2.20vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.24-6.74vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania3.16-7.36vs Predicted
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17University of Texas-0.02-0.03vs Predicted
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18University of Minnesota2.01-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.69University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
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6.74Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.14Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.73University of Notre Dame2.270.0%1st Place
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7.83University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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6.35Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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5.78Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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5.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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7.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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14.34Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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14.53Tulane University1.340.0%1st Place
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6.52Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.39Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.8University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
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8.26University of South Florida3.240.1%1st Place
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8.64University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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16.97University of Texas-0.020.0%1st Place
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12.59University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mike Flanigan | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 2.4% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hans Henken | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Cody Odou | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 18.7% | 25.5% | 10.2% |
| Nick Watts | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 27.5% | 13.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 2.1% |
| Fernando Monllor | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| William Cragin | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 14.0% | 68.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.