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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+4.07vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.81+3.31vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+6.67vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.89-1.39vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University0.53+5.72vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.90+1.62vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+2.18vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.98-1.37vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.66+0.49vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.31-3.15vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.64-1.84vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-2.22vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.03-1.88vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis0.07-3.78vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.54+0.88vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.34-3.41vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.87-2.41vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-0.36-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07University of California at Santa Barbara1.3512.2%1st Place
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5.31Western Washington University1.8111.6%1st Place
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9.67University of California at Santa Cruz0.863.1%1st Place
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2.61Stanford University2.8934.0%1st Place
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10.72San Diego State University0.532.1%1st Place
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7.62University of Southern California0.905.1%1st Place
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9.18California Poly Maritime Academy0.533.4%1st Place
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6.63University of California at Berkeley0.986.8%1st Place
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9.49Arizona State University0.662.9%1st Place
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6.85University of Hawaii1.316.0%1st Place
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9.16University of Washington0.642.5%1st Place
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9.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.352.7%1st Place
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11.12University of California at San Diego0.031.6%1st Place
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10.22University of California at Davis0.072.9%1st Place
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15.88California State University Channel Islands-1.540.4%1st Place
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12.59University of California at Los Angeles-0.341.3%1st Place
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14.59University of California at San Diego-0.870.8%1st Place
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14.52University of California at Irvine-0.360.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Reid | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leif Hauge | 11.6% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Reade Decker | 34.0% | 25.2% | 16.0% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 1.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Will Cornell | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Everett McAvoy | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Brent Lin | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 18.9% | 45.7% |
| Rigel Mummers | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 5.6% |
| Alex Bussey | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 20.0% | 22.3% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 22.4% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.