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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.36+7.03vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.95+3.92vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.93+6.67vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.80+2.17vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.72+1.53vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.18+2.44vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.82-0.78vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.49-0.74vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.27-0.83vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-2.05vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-4.99vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota2.01+0.90vs Predicted
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13Oregon State University1.47+1.01vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame2.27-2.44vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania3.16-6.49vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.34-1.39vs Predicted
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17University of Florida2.20-4.82vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-0.02-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.03University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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5.92Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.67University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
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6.17Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.53Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.44Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.22Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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7.26University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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8.17Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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6.01St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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12.9University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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14.01Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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11.56University of Notre Dame2.270.0%1st Place
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8.51University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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14.61Tulane University1.340.0%1st Place
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12.18University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
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16.84University of Texas-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kutschenreuter | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Hans Henken | 10.7% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.0% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Stocke | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 4.9% |
| Cody Odou | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 25.5% | 8.4% |
| Mike Flanigan | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Watts | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 25.6% | 13.4% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 2.2% |
| William Cragin | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 11.8% | 68.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.