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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.88+4.73vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+5.71vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.67+3.34vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.70+2.02vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.15+2.93vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.87+3.13vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota2.13+4.58vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.52-1.34vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.73-3.07vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.04-1.39vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.08-5.99vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-2.92vs Predicted
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13University of Florida2.38-2.38vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.39-0.42vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California2.47-4.57vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.77-0.71vs Predicted
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17University of Notre Dame0.86-1.85vs Predicted
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18Oregon State University0.21-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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6.34Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.02Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.93University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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6.66Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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5.93Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.61University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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5.01Yale University4.080.2%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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10.62University of Florida2.380.0%1st Place
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13.58Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.43University of Southern California2.470.0%1st Place
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15.29University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
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15.15University of Notre Dame0.860.0%1st Place
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16.2Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearson Potts | 11.5% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Augie Dale | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Alison Kent | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 15.8% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Armington | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 14.5% | 8.0% |
| John Coakley | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Masie Comen | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 27.4% | 22.1% |
| Christian Koerwer | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 20.1% | 23.1% | 21.5% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 11.9% | 22.7% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.