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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+5.26vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+2.99vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.15+5.14vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.52+2.62vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.13+6.26vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.73+0.01vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.88-1.50vs Predicted
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8University of Florida2.38+2.51vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-0.34vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California2.47+0.51vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.67-4.68vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.87-2.75vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30-5.70vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.04-5.90vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.39-1.53vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.77-1.08vs Predicted
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17Oregon State University-0.40-0.22vs Predicted
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18University of Notre Dame-0.25-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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4.99Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.14University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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6.62Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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11.26University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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6.01Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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5.5Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.51University of Florida2.380.0%1st Place
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8.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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10.51University of Southern California2.470.0%1st Place
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6.32Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.25University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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7.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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8.1University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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13.47Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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14.92University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
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16.78Oregon State University-0.400.0%1st Place
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16.41University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 12.1% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael Croteau | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Connor Corgard | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 12.1% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Bates | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Augie Dale | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jacob La Dow | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 19.2% | 20.4% | 11.4% | 1.7% |
| Masie Comen | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 29.0% | 23.3% | 9.3% |
| Alexander Muschler | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 11.0% | 25.1% | 50.8% |
| John O'Brien | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 14.3% | 33.1% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.