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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.88+4.64vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+6.87vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.70+3.15vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+3.28vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.04+3.27vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.20+1.78vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.73-1.07vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.15-0.12vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.08-4.27vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.52-3.18vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University0.21+5.25vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota2.13-0.20vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.87-4.20vs Predicted
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14University of Florida2.38-3.60vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California2.47-4.66vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.39-2.19vs Predicted
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17University of Texas0.77-1.70vs Predicted
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18University of Notre Dame0.86-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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6.15Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.28St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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8.27University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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7.78Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.93Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.88University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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4.73Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.82Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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16.25Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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11.8University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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8.8University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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10.4University of Florida2.380.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Southern California2.470.0%1st Place
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13.81Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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15.3University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
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14.95University of Notre Dame0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearson Potts | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 3.7% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Antoine Screve | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Trepton | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 10.8% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 15.0% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 21.3% | 46.5% |
| Alison Kent | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 1.2% |
| Drew Gallagher | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| John Coakley | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Payne | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 19.5% | 16.1% | 7.4% |
| Masie Comen | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 10.6% | 18.1% | 25.1% | 23.8% |
| Christian Koerwer | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 7.2% | 13.1% | 18.3% | 22.8% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.