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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+5.12vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.52+4.66vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.15+5.01vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.73+1.75vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.04+3.12vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.25+1.46vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+1.50vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.88-2.73vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30-1.81vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.67-3.79vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.87-1.97vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota2.13-0.29vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California2.47-2.89vs Predicted
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14University of Florida2.38-3.71vs Predicted
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15Oregon State University-0.40+1.98vs Predicted
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16University of Notre Dame0.86-1.05vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.39-3.32vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.77-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.66Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.01University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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5.75Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.12University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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7.46Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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5.27Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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6.21Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.03University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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10.11University of Southern California2.470.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Florida2.380.0%1st Place
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16.98Oregon State University-0.400.0%1st Place
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14.95University of Notre Dame0.860.0%1st Place
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13.68Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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14.97University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Bates | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 12.6% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Augie Dale | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Alison Kent | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| John Coakley | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Armington | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Muschler | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 7.7% | 15.5% | 65.2% |
| Christian Koerwer | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 13.6% | 20.1% | 26.8% | 13.6% |
| Alexandra Payne | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 18.5% | 17.2% | 5.4% |
| Masie Comen | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 22.1% | 27.8% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.