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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.25+6.44vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.52+4.47vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.15+4.80vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.44+2.50vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+3.31vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.88-0.90vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+0.03vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.47+2.00vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.67-3.32vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.04-1.71vs Predicted
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11University of Florida2.38-0.43vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota2.13-0.34vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame1.37+0.66vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.39-0.53vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.87-6.43vs Predicted
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16Oregon State University0.21+0.38vs Predicted
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17University of Texas0.77-1.73vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.77-9.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.47Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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7.8University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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6.5Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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5.1Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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10.0University of Southern California2.470.0%1st Place
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5.68Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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10.57University of Florida2.380.0%1st Place
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11.66University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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13.66University of Notre Dame1.370.0%1st Place
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13.47Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.57University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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16.38Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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15.27University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
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8.83Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 5.7% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 13.8% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Augie Dale | 10.9% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Alison Kent | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Power | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 18.7% | 9.2% |
| Alexandra Payne | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 8.1% |
| Drew Gallagher | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 18.8% | 53.1% |
| Masie Comen | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 16.5% | 25.4% | 26.1% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.