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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.52+5.21vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.73+3.46vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.25+4.09vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.04+3.56vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.20+2.04vs Predicted
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6University of Florida2.38+4.11vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-1.27vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.44-1.78vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.56+0.44vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.87-1.48vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.15-3.61vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-3.67vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California2.47-3.42vs Predicted
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14Oregon State University0.21+1.78vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota2.13-4.07vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.77-1.19vs Predicted
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17University of Notre Dame-0.09-0.56vs Predicted
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18Tulane University0.89-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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5.46Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.09Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.56University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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7.04Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.11University of Florida2.380.0%1st Place
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5.73St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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6.22Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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9.44Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
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8.52University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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7.39University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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9.58University of Southern California2.470.0%1st Place
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15.78Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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14.81University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
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16.44University of Notre Dame-0.090.0%1st Place
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14.35Tulane University0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Croteau | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 7.3% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Chase Quinn | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Drew Gallagher | 6.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Coakley | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 15.7% | 28.4% | 28.6% |
| Alison Kent | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Masie Comen | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 21.7% | 22.7% | 13.6% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 12.4% | 23.4% | 46.5% |
| Jessica Oswalt | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 9.0% | 16.8% | 22.3% | 18.7% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.